Sports betting intelligence. Every pick is posted here and on X before the game, with the FanDuel price and the time it was read. Every result is posted after, next to the closing line. Some days the answer is NO BET.
The record
| Date | Pick | Price @ time (CT) | Close | Result |
|---|
The first board posts Tuesday, October 20, 2026.
Picks appear here within the hour they are rated. Results and the closing line are added the next morning. Nothing is removed, and no start date is chosen after the fact.
- Plays
- 0
- Record
- 0–0
- Units
- 0.0
- Avg CLV
- —
How a pick is made
The fair line first. The market's two-way price with the vig removed is the baseline. A pick exists only where our own number differs from that baseline for a stated reason.
Edge, then size. Edge is our probability minus the break-even probability at FanDuel's price. Under 1.5 points is a pass. Plays are sized in units, never more than two on one game, never more than five in a day.
Graded by the close. Wins and losses are noise over a month. Beating the closing line is the measure that holds up, so it is posted next to every result.
Founders
$29 a month, locked for life. First 50 people.
Paid membership opens once the public record is two weeks old. It will be $49 a month. The first 50 people on this list pay $29 a month for as long as they stay, and get the full card: the thesis behind each pick, the worst price still worth playing, unit size, and the members' morning email before the board posts publicly.
- Nothing is charged now. Joining the list is a reservation, not a purchase.
- You will see the record before you pay. If it is not worth $29, do not pay.
- Cancel any time. Full refund inside seven days of the first charge.
One confirmation email, then the Monday email. The founders offer comes to this list first.
The Monday email
One email a week with the record: the week's picks, results, units and closing-line value. Nothing else, and nothing on game days.
Get the Monday email free · 21+You will get one confirmation email first. Unsubscribe any time.